2025 NCAA Tournament projections: Bracketology and March Madness predictions

Last Updated: March 6, 2025By

Texas A&M shocked the college basketball world on Tuesday night with a stunning 83-72 win over No. 1-ranked Auburn. The victory was Texas A&M’s first-ever win over a top-ranked opponent and put an end to the Tigers’ six-game winning streak.

Was it enough to knock Bruce Pearl’s team from the No. 1 overall seed?

FOX Sports bracket forecaster Mike DeCourcy is here to answer that and more with his latest NCAA Tournament projections.

Despite the loss, Auburn does remain the top-overall seed in DeCourcy’s latest projections. The Tigers are joined by Duke, Alabama and Houston on the 1-line.

Tennessee, Florida, Michigan State and St. John’s remain on the 2-line in DeCourcy’s latest projections, while Wisconsin, Texas Tech, Kentucky and Texas A&M make up the No. 3 seeds.

Michigan, Purdue, Iowa State and Missouri round out the No. 4 seeds in DeCourcy’s projections. The Cyclones fell down to the 4-line following an 88-85 double-overtime loss to BYU on Tuesday.

As for the bubble, DeCourcy has Nebraska, Texas, North Carolina and Xavier among his first four teams out of the NCAA Tournament, while SMU, UC Irvine, Cincinnati and San Francisco are listed as DeCourcy’s next four teams out of the NCAA Tournament.

Here’s a full look at DeCourcy’s latest projections:

No. 1 seeds

1. Auburn
2. Duke
3. Alabama
4. Houston

No. 2 seeds

5. Tennessee
6. Florida
7. Michigan State
8. St. John’s

No. 3 seeds

9. Wisconsin
10. Texas Tech
11. Kentucky
12. Texas A&M

No. 4 seeds

13. Michigan
14. Purdue
15. Iowa State
16. Missouri

No. 5 seeds

17. Clemson
18. Arizona
19. Marquette
20. Maryland

No. 6 seeds

21. Oregon
22. Louisville
23. Memphis
24. Saint Mary’s

No. 7 seeds

25. UCLA
26. Kansas
27. BYU
28. Mississippi State

No. 8 seeds

29. Illinois
30. Ole Miss
31. Gonzaga
32. Creighton

No. 9 seeds

33. Connecticut
34. New Mexico
35. Vanderbilt
36. Georgia

No. 10 seeds

37. San Diego State
38. Utah State
39. West Virginia
40. Baylor

No. 11 seeds

41. Arkansas
42. Drake
43. VCU
44. Ohio State v. 45 Oklahoma

No. 12 seeds

46. Indiana vs. 47. Boise State
48. UC San Diego
49. Yale
50. McNeese

No. 13 seeds

51. Akron
52. High Point
53. Arkansas State
54. Lipscomb

No. 14 seeds

55. Utah Valley
56. Chattanooga
57. Jacksonville State
58. Towson

No. 15 seeds

59. Montana
60. Central Connecticut
61. Robert Morris
62. Bryant

No. 16 seeds

63. Norfolk State
64. Quinnipiac
65. Southeast Missouri State
66. Southern
67. Omaha
68. American

Michael DeCourcy covers college basketball for FOX Sports with an emphasis on NCAA Tournament bracket projections. He has appeared on FOX Sports college basketball game broadcasts, while also serving as a college basketball studio analyst with Big Ten Network. He has been covering college basketball for nearly three decades at the Sporting News. You can follow him at @tsnmike.

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